[snowmadchrisuk]

I know there are cirtain birds that have more instinct than others. On this front you can probably gather I Have been listning to some old farmers tales, but some farmers swear by there methods. My initial thoughts now have moved on to more of a worry that we may have high pressure right on top of us, Which will make it cold but not that snowy. Fog is likely to become a problem as early as next week with sunny days rather cold nights and light winds under high pressure seems to me to be the classic ingrediants needed for fog.

By the end of the gfs run cold pooling is starting to advect down into the nw atlanitc and also into the northern extent of the north sea to our east. By november I expect this to start advecting westwards from the east towards the uk.

Our best chances this year I think comes from the east, also I think we have a strong chance of a polar low hopefully around christmas. It is deffanatly a case of getting high pressure in the right place hence my worry about high pressure on top of us. But current indications suggest northern blocking will be much more persistant this year. Also for the next month or so expect it to be dry, maybe not that warm but dry as the azores high seems to want to build right over us but the high is possitioned wrong meaning it can not drag in the really warm air that some would like.

Anyway nice to read all your comments

Chris